Merger Models

yedlu, Winter 2024

Key Components

Goodwill

  • Definition: Goodwill is the excess purchase price over the fair value of net identifiable assets.

  • Steps to Calculate:

    1. Determine the purchase price (offer price × target diluted shares).
    2. Write up tangible and intangible assets to their fair values.
    3. Calculate Deferred Tax Liability (DTL) on asset write-ups.
    4. Goodwill = Residual amount after adjustments.
  • Write-Ups:

    • Tangible: PP&E adjusted to market value.
    • Intangible: Brand names, patents, customer relationships (unrecorded in the target’s books).
  • Example:
    Purchase price = $600M, fair value of net identifiable assets = $450M, write-ups = $50M, tax rate = 40%.
    \[\text{Goodwill} = 600 - (450 + 50 - (50 \times 0.4)) = 130M\]

  • Impairment: Goodwill is tested annually for impairment and not amortized. Losses reduce the goodwill account and affect the income statement.

Deferred Tax Liability (DTL)

  • Definition: DTL arises from differences between book values (after fair value write-ups) and tax bases of assets.
    \[\text{DTL} = \text{Asset Write-Up} \times \text{Tax Rate}\]

  • Impact:

    • Creates a liability on the opening balance sheet.
    • Reduces over time as the gap between tax depreciation and book depreciation narrows.
    • Reverses fully by the end of the depreciation period.
  • Example:
    If the write-up is $50M and the tax rate is 40%,
    \[\text{DTL} = 50 \times 0.4 = 20\]

  • Relevance:
    DTL increases goodwill, as it represents a liability assumed in the transaction.

Opening Balance Sheet

  • Adjustments:

    • Consolidate the acquirer’s and target’s balance sheets.
    • Write up target’s assets to fair value.
    • Add goodwill and DTL.
    • Record transaction financing (e.g., new debt issuance).
  • Steps:

    1. Start with standalone balance sheets.
    2. Add purchase price allocation:
      • Write-ups for tangible/intangible assets.
      • Goodwill creation.
      • DTL adjustment.
    3. Include transaction fees and financing adjustments.
  • Example:
    Acquirer pays $300M in cash and issues $200M in stock. Target assets: $250M, liabilities: $50M, write-ups: $30M.
    \[\text{Goodwill} = 500 - (250 + 30 - 20) = 240\]

Sources and Uses of Funds Table

  • Purpose: Details the financing sources and allocation of funds in the transaction.
Sources Uses
Cash Equity purchase price
New debt Repayment of target debt
Stock consideration Transaction fees
Existing cash on hand
  • Key Questions:

    • How is the deal funded (cash, stock, or debt)?
    • Are transaction and financing fees included?
    • How much debt is refinanced or repaid?
  • Example:
    For a $1,000M transaction:

    • Sources: $500M debt, $300M stock, $200M existing cash.
    • Uses: $900M purchase price, $50M target debt repayment, $50M fees.

Accretion/Dilution Analysis

  • Definition: Measures the impact of the transaction on acquirer’s Earnings Per Share (EPS).

  • Pro-Forma EPS:
    \[\text{Pro-Forma EPS} = \frac{\text{Pro-Forma Net Income}}{\text{Pro-Forma Shares Outstanding}}\]

  • Steps:

    1. Combine standalone net incomes of acquirer and target.
    2. Adjust for synergies, depreciation, amortization, and new debt interest.
    3. Subtract taxes to calculate pro-forma net income.
    4. Calculate pro-forma shares outstanding (including newly issued shares).
    5. Compare pro-forma EPS with standalone EPS.
  • Result:

    • Accretive: Pro-forma EPS > Standalone EPS.
    • Dilutive: Pro-forma EPS < Standalone EPS.
  • Example:
    Acquirer standalone EPS = $3.50, pro-forma EPS = $3.80.
    Result: Accretive by $0.30 per share.

Other Components of the Merger Model

Consolidation of Financial Statements

  • Combine line-by-line items from acquirer and target balance sheets.
  • Include adjustments for fair value, goodwill, and DTL.

Synergies

  • Revenue Synergies: Cross-selling, increased pricing power.
  • Cost Synergies: Overhead reduction, supply chain efficiency.
  • Synergies directly affect accretion/dilution analysis.

Financing Adjustments

  • New debt issuance adds interest expense, reducing net income.
  • Transaction fees reduce retained earnings and increase cash outflows.

Contribution Analysis

  • Measures relative contributions of acquirer and target to the combined entity.
  • Helps assess post-merger ownership and value creation.
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